Valuation

Valuation in this library is a method and a term, not a headline multiple. Convertible instruments, caps, pre-money versus post-money, EBITDA, models, and the deal tape only matter if you can show the math a priced investor or a buyer will argue. I write for founders and corp-dev leads who have to defend a number in the room, including when the asset is an AI company with no clean comps.

Use this tag when the argument is the number: cap, multiple, model, or what a buyer will pay for an AI asset with ugly comps. Pair it with term sheets if the fight is contractual, and with unit economics if the fight is the forecast. I will not bless a hockey stick.

The AI Deal Tape: Anthropic, OpenAI, Stripe-OpenRouter, and Dario's Three Points
M&A, Partnering & Due DiligenceMarket signal

The AI Deal Tape: Anthropic, OpenAI, Stripe-OpenRouter, and Dario's Three Points

Anthropic is closer to listing than OpenAI. Stripe has reportedly agreed to buy OpenRouter for more than $7B. Dario Amodei's August 15 posts are the policy tone buyers should actually underwrite: harder tests at the frontier, fewer slogans, and an admission that the big benefits are still unpaid.

6 min readRead more →
July 2026 Frontier AI Deal Sheet: Kimi K3, SAP–Prior Labs, Fireworks, and the $262B YTD Wave
M&A, Partnering & Due DiligenceMarket signal

July 2026 Frontier AI Deal Sheet: Kimi K3, SAP–Prior Labs, Fireworks, and the $262B YTD Wave

A concise deal sheet for the busiest frontier-AI fortnight of 2026 — model launches, strategic acquisitions, and infrastructure megarounds reshaping corp-dev timelines.

6 min readRead more →
Fireworks AI Hits $17.5B Valuation on $1.5B Series D — Inference Still Owns the Cap Table
M&A, Partnering & Due DiligenceMarket signal

Fireworks AI Hits $17.5B Valuation on $1.5B Series D — Inference Still Owns the Cap Table

Fireworks AI closed a $1.5B Series D at a $17.5B valuation with NVIDIA participating — crossing $1B ARR as daily token volume jumps from 15T to 40T+.

1 min readRead more →
Series A Traction Metrics: What Investors Actually Want to See
M&A, Partnering & Due DiligenceGuide

Series A Traction Metrics: What Investors Actually Want to See

The specific metrics and milestones that Series A investors evaluate — MRR thresholds, growth rates, retention benchmarks, and market signals by vertical.

11 min readRead more →
Anti-Dilution Provisions: What Founders Need to Know
M&A, Partnering & Due DiligenceGuide

Anti-Dilution Provisions: What Founders Need to Know

How anti-dilution provisions work, the difference between full ratchet and weighted average, and how they affect founders in a down round.

10 min readRead more →
Bridge Rounds: When to Use Them and How to Structure Them
M&A, Partnering & Due DiligenceGuide

Bridge Rounds: When to Use Them and How to Structure Them

When bridge financing makes sense, how to structure it to avoid unfavorable terms, and the signals investors look for before participating.

9 min readRead more →
Startup Runway: How to Calculate It and How to Extend It
M&A, Partnering & Due DiligenceGuide

Startup Runway: How to Calculate It and How to Extend It

How to calculate your startup's runway, what benchmarks matter at each stage, and tactical strategies for extending it without sacrificing growth.

8 min readRead more →
The Investor Pitch Deck: Structure, Content, and Common Mistakes
M&A, Partnering & Due DiligenceGuide

The Investor Pitch Deck: Structure, Content, and Common Mistakes

How to structure a pitch deck that gets meetings — the 12 essential slides, what investors scan first, and the mistakes that get decks rejected.

11 min readRead more →
How to Build a Financial Model for Your Startup
M&A, Partnering & Due DiligenceGuide

How to Build a Financial Model for Your Startup

A step-by-step guide to building a startup financial model that investors take seriously — revenue projections, unit economics, and scenario planning.

12 min readRead more →
Earnout Structures in M&A: How They Work and How to Negotiate Them
M&A, Partnering & Due DiligenceGuide

Earnout Structures in M&A: How They Work and How to Negotiate Them

How earnouts bridge valuation gaps in M&A — typical structures, payment triggers, accounting pitfalls, and negotiation strategies for both buyers and sellers.

11 min readRead more →
Startup Valuation Methods: How Investors Value Early-Stage Companies
M&A, Partnering & Due DiligenceGuide

Startup Valuation Methods: How Investors Value Early-Stage Companies

An overview of the most common startup valuation methods — from comparable analysis to DCF, scorecard, and venture capital method — with examples and when to use each.

12 min readRead more →
Pre-Money vs. Post-Money Valuation: The Math Every Founder Must Know
M&A, Partnering & Due DiligenceGuide

Pre-Money vs. Post-Money Valuation: The Math Every Founder Must Know

The essential math behind pre-money and post-money valuations — with clear examples, dilution calculations, and common mistakes that cost founders equity.

8 min readRead more →
How to Raise a Seed Round: A Step-by-Step Guide for Founders
M&A, Partnering & Due DiligenceGuide

How to Raise a Seed Round: A Step-by-Step Guide for Founders

A practical roadmap for raising a seed round — from building your investor list to setting terms, running the process, and closing the deal.

13 min readRead more →
The M&A Due Diligence Checklist: What Buyers Actually Look For
M&A, Partnering & Due DiligenceGuide

The M&A Due Diligence Checklist: What Buyers Actually Look For

A comprehensive due diligence checklist covering financial, legal, operational, and commercial areas — organized by what buyers prioritize and what kills deals.

14 min readRead more →
EBITDA: Definition, Calculation, and Why It Matters in M&A
M&A, Partnering & Due DiligenceGuide

EBITDA: Definition, Calculation, and Why It Matters in M&A

A clear breakdown of EBITDA — what it measures, how to calculate it, adjusted EBITDA variants, and why buyers use it as the primary valuation metric in M&A.

8 min readRead more →
SAFE Agreements Explained: What Every Founder Needs to Know
M&A, Partnering & Due DiligenceGuide

SAFE Agreements Explained: What Every Founder Needs to Know

Everything founders need to know about SAFE agreements — structure, valuation caps, discount rates, and when to use them instead of convertible notes.

9 min readRead more →
What Is a Convertible Note? A Complete Guide for Founders and Investors
M&A, Partnering & Due DiligenceGuide

What Is a Convertible Note? A Complete Guide for Founders and Investors

A comprehensive guide to convertible notes — how they work, key terms, pros and cons for founders and investors, and how they compare to SAFEs.

10 min readRead more →