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Valuation

Valuation in this library is a method and a term, not a headline multiple. Convertible instruments, caps, pre-money versus post-money, EBITDA, models, and the deal tape only matter if you can show the math a priced investor or a buyer will argue. I write for founders and corp-dev leads who have to defend a number in the room, including when the asset is an AI company with no clean comps.

Use this tag when the argument is the number: cap, multiple, model, or what a buyer will pay for an AI asset with ugly comps. Pair it with term sheets if the fight is contractual, and with unit economics if the fight is the forecast. I will not bless a hockey stick.

The AI Deal Tape: Anthropic, OpenAI, Stripe-OpenRouter, and Dario's Three Points
M&A, Partnering & Due DiligenceBrief

The AI Deal Tape: Anthropic, OpenAI, Stripe-OpenRouter, and Dario's Three Points

Anthropic is closer to listing than OpenAI. Stripe has reportedly agreed to buy OpenRouter for more than $7B. Dario Amodei's August 15 posts are the policy tone buyers should actually underwrite: harder tests at the frontier, fewer slogans, and an admission that the big benefits are still unpaid.

6 min readRead more →
July 2026 Frontier AI Deal Sheet: Kimi K3, SAP–Prior Labs, Fireworks, and the $262B YTD Wave
M&A, Partnering & Due DiligenceBrief

July 2026 Frontier AI Deal Sheet: Kimi K3, SAP–Prior Labs, Fireworks, and the $262B YTD Wave

A concise deal sheet for the busiest frontier-AI fortnight of 2026. Model launches, strategic acquisitions, and infrastructure megarounds reshaping corp-dev timelines.

6 min readRead more →
Fireworks AI Hits $17.5B Valuation on $1.5B Series D. Inference Still Owns the Cap Table
M&A, Partnering & Due DiligenceBrief

Fireworks AI Hits $17.5B Valuation on $1.5B Series D. Inference Still Owns the Cap Table

Fireworks AI closed a $1.5B Series D at a $17.5B valuation with NVIDIA participating. Crossing $1B ARR as daily token volume jumps from 15T to 40T+.

1 min readRead more →
Series A Traction Metrics: What Investors Actually Want to See
M&A, Partnering & Due DiligenceGuide

Series A Traction Metrics: What Investors Actually Want to See

The specific metrics and milestones that Series A investors evaluate. MRR thresholds, growth rates, retention benchmarks, and market signals by vertical.

11 min readRead more →
Anti-Dilution Provisions: What Founders Need to Know
M&A, Partnering & Due DiligenceGuide

Anti-Dilution Provisions: What Founders Need to Know

How anti-dilution provisions work, the difference between full ratchet and weighted average, and how they affect founders in a down round.

10 min readRead more →
Bridge Rounds: When to Use Them and How to Structure Them
M&A, Partnering & Due DiligenceGuide

Bridge Rounds: When to Use Them and How to Structure Them

When bridge financing makes sense, how to structure it to avoid unfavorable terms, and the signals investors look for before participating.

9 min readRead more →
Startup Runway: How to Calculate It and How to Extend It
M&A, Partnering & Due DiligenceGuide

Startup Runway: How to Calculate It and How to Extend It

How to calculate your startup's runway, what benchmarks matter at each stage, and tactical strategies for extending it without sacrificing growth.

8 min readRead more →
The Investor Pitch Deck: Structure, Content, and Common Mistakes
M&A, Partnering & Due DiligenceGuide

The Investor Pitch Deck: Structure, Content, and Common Mistakes

How to structure a pitch deck that gets meetings. The 12 essential slides, what investors scan first, and the mistakes that get decks rejected.

11 min readRead more →
How to Build a Financial Model for Your Startup
M&A, Partnering & Due DiligenceGuide

How to Build a Financial Model for Your Startup

A step-by-step guide to building a startup financial model that investors take seriously. Revenue projections, unit economics, and scenario planning.

12 min readRead more →
Earnout Structures in M&A: How They Work and How to Negotiate Them
M&A, Partnering & Due DiligenceGuide

Earnout Structures in M&A: How They Work and How to Negotiate Them

How earnouts bridge valuation gaps in M&A. Typical structures, payment triggers, accounting pitfalls, and negotiation strategies for both buyers and sellers.

11 min readRead more →
Startup Valuation Methods: How Investors Value Early-Stage Companies
M&A, Partnering & Due DiligenceGuide

Startup Valuation Methods: How Investors Value Early-Stage Companies

An overview of the most common startup valuation methods. From comparable analysis to DCF, scorecard, and venture capital method. With examples and when to use each.

12 min readRead more →
Pre-Money vs. Post-Money Valuation: The Math Every Founder Must Know
M&A, Partnering & Due DiligenceGuide

Pre-Money vs. Post-Money Valuation: The Math Every Founder Must Know

The essential math behind pre-money and post-money valuations. With clear examples, dilution calculations, and common mistakes that cost founders equity.

8 min readRead more →
How to Raise a Seed Round: A Step-by-Step Guide for Founders
M&A, Partnering & Due DiligenceGuide

How to Raise a Seed Round: A Step-by-Step Guide for Founders

A practical roadmap for raising a seed round. From building your investor list to setting terms, running the process, and closing the deal.

13 min readRead more →
The M&A Due Diligence Checklist: What Buyers Actually Look For
M&A, Partnering & Due DiligenceGuide

The M&A Due Diligence Checklist: What Buyers Actually Look For

A comprehensive due diligence checklist covering financial, legal, operational, and commercial areas. Organized by what buyers prioritize and what kills deals.

14 min readRead more →
EBITDA: Definition, Calculation, and Why It Matters in M&A
M&A, Partnering & Due DiligenceGuide

EBITDA: Definition, Calculation, and Why It Matters in M&A

A clear breakdown of EBITDA. What it measures, how to calculate it, adjusted EBITDA variants, and why buyers use it as the primary valuation metric in M&A.

8 min readRead more →
SAFE Agreements Explained: What Every Founder Needs to Know
M&A, Partnering & Due DiligenceGuide

SAFE Agreements Explained: What Every Founder Needs to Know

Everything founders need to know about SAFE agreements. Structure, valuation caps, discount rates, and when to use them instead of convertible notes.

9 min readRead more →
What Is a Convertible Note? A Complete Guide for Founders and Investors
M&A, Partnering & Due DiligenceGuide

What Is a Convertible Note? A Complete Guide for Founders and Investors

A comprehensive guide to convertible notes. How they work, key terms, pros and cons for founders and investors, and how they compare to SAFEs.

10 min readRead more →